Analysis

Despite Wolves' midweek upset over Liverpool, the odds remain in favor of Liverpool due to several key factors. Historically, Liverpool dominates this matchup, having won 7 out of their last 10 encounters. Moreover, Liverpool's overall form is stronger this season; they are 5th in the Premier League, a stark contrast to Wolves who sit at the bottom. Liverpool's attack, led by Ekitike and Salah, remains potent, averaging over 2 goals per game. Their ability to capitalize on set-pieces is notable, adding a strategic edge lacking in Wolves' defense, which concedes 1.75 goals per game. Though Wolves showed resilience with back-to-back wins, their overall struggles, especially offensively, weaken their prospects. The recent victory was an anomaly rather than a norm, suggesting their form is not sustainable. Current market odds might slightly undervalue Wolves' momentum post-win, but Liverpool's quality and depth provide numerous pathways for a win. Without significant injury impacts and given historical performance trends, the 63.5% probability seems reasonable yet slightly cautious, justifying a confident YES prediction with Liverpool seeking FA Cup redemption.