Analysis

Atlético Madrid is expected to win due to their dominant home form and Tottenham's struggles. Atlético has won 17 of their last 19 home games, while Tottenham has lost their last 5 matches and conceded 13 goals in those games. Atlético's attacking duo of Sørloth and Alvarez will likely capitalize on Tottenham's fragile defense, which has been a significant issue this season. Key players like Griezmann being available as a sub further bolster Atlético's chances. Although Tottenham may perform better in European competitions, their ongoing issues, including interim management under Igor Tudor who hasn't secured a win, make Atlético the likely victors. The market reflects this sentiment with a 57.5% chance, aligning with situational factors and recent team performances. No new significant injuries or lineup changes seem to alter this outlook.