Analysis

The Celtics are in excellent form, winning 4 of their last 5 games, and have a strong home record. Their #1 net rating and efficient three-point shooting give them a significant edge. The Spurs struggle on the road and have a weaker defense, especially with Victor Wembanyama potentially limited. The Celtics have dominated recent head-to-head matchups with the Spurs. Even with Tatum's limited capacity, the Celtics' depth and home advantage make them favorites to win. The market seems to undervalue the Celtics given the Spurs' recent struggles and reliance on Wemby.