Analysis

The market's 64.5% probability for Arsenal's win suggests a reasonable expectation based on their current form and partial squad recovery. Despite ongoing injuries, Arsenal's recent wins against Brighton and in the FA Cup demonstrate resilience. Saliba's return strengthens Arsenal's defense, crucial for the Champions League away match. While Odegaard's absence impacts creativity, Trossard's fitness potentially alleviates some attacking concerns. Lack of information on Leverkusen's injuries or recent form introduces uncertainty; however, Arsenal's status as group leaders and historical success in European ties bolster confidence in an away win. Given the limited specifics on Leverkusen and the market's reflection of informed betting, a moderate lean towards Arsenal is justified based on situational analysis.