Analysis

Thunder are moderately favored with a 51-15 record, home advantage, and Celtics missing Jayson Tatum and Nikola Vucevic. Tatum's absence is significant, given his scoring and playmaking ability. The Celtics' strength in rebounding and three-point shooting could be diminished against a deep Thunder roster, even with their own injury issues. Derrick White's questionable status further complicates Boston's chances, potentially impacting backcourt depth. Celtics' form without Tatum remains uncertain, while Thunder's superior record and home court advantage bolster their position. Market odds suggest a low-probability outcome for the Celtics victory, aligning with the current 28.5% estimation. Without a strong information edge, it's prudent to follow the market's indication of a Thunder win.