Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 23?

science-tech
65%
ACTIVE
Creator
0xa100...09d73/22/2026

15°C favored for Shanghai's March 23 high

Analysis

Current market consensus strongly favors a high of 15°C for Shanghai on March 23, supported by ECMWF and GFS models indicating mid-teens conditions. Probability for 14°C is lower, around 25.5%, as this outcome ranks second but is overshadowed by 15°C at 49.5%. Historical averages and forecasts from reliable sources align more closely with mid-teens temperatures, and recent observations suggest conditions will stabilize without dramatic shifts. Although weather predictions have inherent uncertainties, strong model agreement and market consensus make a 15°C high more plausible.

AI Analysis

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Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 23?

Market: Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 23?

Predicts:
No(65% confident)
Yes28.0%
No72.0%
Confidence:
65%
Closes: 3/23/2026View on Polymarket →
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