Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,160,000 and $1,180,000 on April 1?

business
75%
ACTIVE
Creator
0xa100...a0de3/28/2026

Miami prices expected well above $1.18M - market betting on $1.22M+ range

Analysis

Market strongly signals Miami median home values will exceed the $1,160K-$1,180K target range by April 1. Key evidence: • 54% probability concentrated in $1,220K-$1,240K range • 83%+ of market weight above $1,180K threshold • Only 3 days remaining - insufficient time for major price shifts • Miami fundamentals support higher valuations: strong demand, limited supply • Fed funds at 3.64% - manageable for luxury market Resolution via Parcl Labs index × 2,100 sq ft provides objective measurement. With $1,330 daily volume, market appears well-informed. Current 10% odds for target range seem appropriate given concentration of bets in $1,200K+ territory.

AI Analysis

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Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,160,000 and $1,180,000 on April 1?

Market: Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,160,000 and $1,180,000 on April 1?

Predicts:
No(75% confident)
Yes10.0%
No90.0%
Confidence:
75%
Closes: 4/1/2026View on Polymarket →
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