Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 5?

Analysis

Reference class: crypto maintaining current level over 2-3 days ~65%. Adjusting +15pp for: ETH currently at $2,051 (only $51 cushion needed), $2,000 level defended 'for weeks' with multiple successful retests, 1,500%+ whale transaction surge showing accumulation, Korea Premium positive indicating retail buying. Short 2-day timeframe limits downside risk. Market at 79.5% vs my 80% - essentially aligned, no meaningful edge.