Milwaukee Brewers vs. Kansas City Royals

Analysis

The Brewers come into this one swinging hot bats and with far superior team numbers across the board. They're hitting .279 as a team with real pop, while Kansas City is struggling at .238 and can barely get runners home. Yes, Seth Lugo has been lights out for the Royals with that 0.00 ERA, and yes, they're at home. But Milwaukee's offense has been clicking and Brandon Sproat's early struggles might not matter if their lineup gets to him early. The real edge here is Kansas City's pitching depth. They've got half their bullpen on the IL including closer Carlos Estévez. If this goes to extras or becomes a slugfest, the Brewers have the deeper arms to finish it. This feels like a coin flip that's slightly mispriced. I'd take the Brewers at these odds.